On this blog I tend not to write about politics directly,
but it’s hard to ignore politics today – even discussions
of cannabis regulation include a nod to Donald Trump. Although I’ve mostly
focused on issues of alcohol and drugs on the blog, the
original intention was to discuss any public policy issue where I felt
there was a lack of openness or clarity.
This often means that posts are reflective, or detached,
questioning the terms of an argument as much as the conclusions, and this post
is no exception. I’m not going to come
up with my own analysis of ‘why Trump won’, or why people voted for Brexit;
there are other people far more knowledgeable and intelligent than me to do
that. What I want to do is suggest that
in the post-mortems of the past year’s political developments, we seem to be approaching
the analysis with the
same kind of superficial thinking that characterised debate and commentary in
the lead up to both elections.
Much of the debate I’ve seen has focused on whether ‘the left’ took a
wrong turn after the 1980s, eschewing materialist politics for identity
politics, where the focus was on respecting minorities and cultural
difference, rather than dealing with economic inequality. (At this point, I just want to emphasise that
this is by no means a new academic debate – I’m re-reading Redistribution or Recognition, which
is well over 10 years old, and the issue felt a little stale even back then
given all the political sociology on ‘post-materialist’
politics.)
On one side, people like Imogen Tyler have suggested that votes for
Trump were precisely an embodiment of this kind of identity politics – only
the identity was of white men, rather than the minorities this approach tends
to be associated with.
Others, like Simon Winlow
and Steve
Hall responded to this position by suggesting that in fact if only politicians
had taken working-class materialist concerns seriously, the voters would never
have been seduced down the blind
alley of identity politics. These
commentators are concerned that the white working class is being labelled as racist
when in fact they’re concerned about their economic security, which has been
undermined by decades of neoliberal social and economic policy.
(My choices of commentators are sociologists, because of my
academic background, not mainstream commentators – but this mirrors the general
debate.)
It won’t surprise regular readers of this blog to find out
that I think this is too
black and white a reading of the issue.
There have been plenty of nuanced responses to this
debate. Judith Butler
has pointed out that ‘economic rage’ is merged with other forms of ‘rage’,
relating to race and sex, in explaining votes for Trump. Similarly,
Emer O’Toole has suggested that these factors are all intertwined.
The neatest explanation of this I’ve seen is this one,
which notes that racism, sexism, and any other form of discrimination have
economic effects. They are not simply
about ‘identity’. There is no pure
market where people interact without identity markers, without prejudice, where
they are only interested in the cash nexus.
But if this has all been explained so well already, what can
I add in a blog post several weeks after the event? Well, I want to suggest that this comes down
to taking a nuanced, complex understanding of the world.
It can be argued that at the heart of any area of thought on
human behaviour – whether sociology, psychology, politics, health, economics –
there is a concern with power or control.
What happens, and why? Who or
what influences what happens?
And without being facile, power is a complicated thing. As any student of political sociology will
tell you, it’s even very
difficult to define as a concept, let alone trace and understand in real
life.
My contention, which again won’t be surprising to regular
readers of the blog, is that power
isn’t simply economic. I’m not going
to go into that in detail here, but suffice to say that not all people from the
same ethnic or gender group are equal, but equally neither are all
billionaires: their influence will be shaped by not only their wealth and
income, but also wider social and cultural capital.
With this idea of power as something more than economics or
identity, it’s useful to make what seems like a trivial statement: these
elections were about power. I don’t mean
simply that the electorate exercised its voting power; I mean that that people
were voting to experience (as much as acquire) power and control, and this is
reflected in the result.
Whether it’s about culture, economics, identity, or
something else, people really did want to ‘take back control’. And to decide which of these factors it was
all ‘fundamentally’ about is to debate whether the chicken or egg came
first. On top of that, when you think of
voters themselves, we’re not looking at one chicken and one egg and thinking
which came first; there is a never-ending cycle of billions of ‘chickens and
eggs’ across the world.
To stretch this analogy to breaking point, we should
probably simply accept that chickens lay eggs and eggs hatch into
chickens. Culture, identity, economics,
social connections – these are all elements of life, whether political or not. They’re not going away, and will continue to
shape power relations and politics.
Let’s think of this idea of power or control in more
practical terms. Control is of course
related to money, finances, or however we want to label economic capital. But people on the same salary are not – and
do not see themselves – as being identical, equal, or even similar. And that means that ‘the elite’
is not simply about money so much as culture. This could be seen as an issue of ‘identity
politics’ or soixante-huitard politics, but that genie is well and truly out of
the bottle. Practical politics is shaped
by the here and now. And indeed, for all
that post-materialist politics is seen as a post-war phenomenon, there’s never
been a neat and perfect correlation between class and political behaviour –
otherwise there would be far fewer jobs in political sociology, and books like The Ragged Trousered Philanthropists and
Felix Holt wouldn’t exist, for
example.
To some extent, it’s a bit facile to suggest that
explanations should acknowledge that there were lots of voters, each with
various interacting influences and motivations.
But if it is facile, it somehow still seems to need saying.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb has criticised what he calls the ‘Intellectual
Yet Idiot’ in polemic, sarcastic fashion, but there is a germ of truth in
his analysis, which suggests that many people have been too quick to leap to
single overarching explanations or views.
So just as they could not accept that Trump or Brexit were
possibilities, so they now leap to a single certain position of whatever caused
those votes.
My particular concern with this way of thinking is that it
perfectly chimes with my experience of university education, where the emphasis
was more on having a clear, forceful, eye-catching argument, rather than being
accurate or ‘correct’. And this isn’t
confined to undergraduates – just think of Niall Ferguson.
That is, those who should be most likely to lead us in
careful, nuanced thinking – academics – seem to be led themselves into
definite, eye-catching statements (remember the claims that the Brexit and
Trump votes are fundamentally about neoliberalism and economics).
People and life are complicated. This seems, again, a facile statement, but
it’s a truth that is far from universally acknowledged at the moment. If this blog post is anything other than an
incoherent ramble of frustration, it’s an expression of my wish for that truth
to be more widely acknowledged by academics, commentators, policymakers, voters
and (most of all) politicians.
Interestingly, politicians
acknowledge the complexity of the world in drug policy, by pretending that
things are simple. If there’s
something positive for me to cling to in today’s make-believe, black-and-white
world of politics, perhaps it’s that behind the simple stories, there’s some
complex understanding. If that was campaigning
in poetry, perhaps the governing in prose will make more sense. However, I’m yet to be convinced.
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